QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I hope you come to Dubai for a convention subsequent yr. After your Syrian forecast that the civil battle would finish solely 13 years from the beginning in 2011, these of us listed here are nonetheless in shock and awe, as you say there within the States. I do know your fashions have thought of the cycles in Syria from Roman instances. Is 2027 nonetheless the goal within the Center East?
BAF
ANSWER: Syria has a really lengthy historical past. Antioch was the hyperlink to the Silk Street for all of the dies and spices from Asia. As you possibly can see, it’s sandwiched between Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, and Israel. Traditionally, it has additionally been often called the Levant and a strategic chess piece within the world battle of geopolitics. The Seleucid Empire was a Greek state in West Asia through the Hellenistic interval. It was based in 312BC by the Macedonian normal Seleucus I Nikator (312-281BC) when the Macedonian Empire based by Alexander the Nice was divided after his demise amongst his generals.
Thus, this grew to become often called the Seleucid dynasty till its annexation by the Roman Republic underneath Pompey in 63 BC, who conquered the area, reworking Syria right into a Roman province. This has lent Syria the chance to offer a wealthy database extending centuries for laptop evaluation. First, it’s essential to acknowledge that legal guidelines are at all times silent throughout battle and civil unrest. They’re the decorations of civilization and solely apply when there may be civil discord – not battle and upheaval.
The primary Syrian to change into a Roman Emperor was Elagabalus (218-222AD). That is at all times the identical sample of the conquered/slave finally changing into king. Some pointed that out when Obama grew to become President. It is a mere reality of historical past. The king is lifeless – lengthy stay the king. One other reality of historical past is when there’s a civil rebellion, the king could fall, however the victor rapidly assumes the identical insurance policies as these he vanquished.
The English Civil Warfare tore down the rule of legislation, and right here you see Oliver Cromwell rapidly issued coinage styled because the very king he had beheaded for daring to defend towards him within the civil battle. He put King Charles on trial, discovered him responsible for shedding the civil battle, after which beheaded him.
Civil Wars are inclined to final 4.3 years (American Civil Warfare), 8.6 years (English Civil Warfare), and even 13 years (Cambodian Civil Warfare, 1967-1975). Nonetheless, transcend that 8.6-year interval, and it’ll prolong to 13 years.
Numerous instances when there have been civil wars, you discover the pinnacle of state when captured, is commonly executed. This appears to be commonplace. When they’re lifeless, they may routinely topple their statues as they did all through Japanese Europe, toppling the statues of Lenin.
Civil Wars at all times invoke deep hatred, and when leaders usually are not executed, what you discover is commonly assassinations of the victor. They assassinated Julius Caesar after he gained the civil battle. These are cyclical patterns that routinely happen. There was an tried assassination of Zelensky, and he fired his head of safety as a result of it was Ukrainians – not Russians. There was an identical tried assassination of Hitler.
Assad is sensible to flee together with his household to Russia, for they might have all been executed simply because the Russian Revolution executed your complete household of the Czar. Individuals who engaged in civil wars and/or revolutions at all times responded the identical approach, it doesn’t matter what tradition or nation was concerned. The Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi additionally fled Iran in 1978 throughout that revolution. These items could look like a shock, however they’re commonplace within the playbook of geopolitics.
I’ve beforehand warned that Turkey has the biggest military within the Center East, and Erdogan praised the Hamas assault as a result of he desires of resurrecting the Ottoman Empire and he sees himself because the chief. They’re mortal enemies of Greece and that goes again to the autumn of the Byzantine Empire. Turkey has funded these rebels, and that grew to become potential solely as a result of Israel destroyed Hezbollah. On the one hand, you’ve gotten the US cheering Al-Qaeda all as a result of the Neocons have been making an attempt for years to overthrow all three dictators they created in Syria, Iraq, and Libya. Now, they will get the pipeline from Qutar to chop off Russia’s vitality gross sales to Europe. So that is all about Russia, Russia, Russia. In the meantime, they’re so fixated on conquering Russia that they’ve ignored the actual menace within the Center East of the resurrection of the Ottoman Empire.
I’ll replace the prospects for battle within the Center East and the facility vacuum that’s unfolding that’s hidden behind the headlines. Most individuals don’t know that it was the West that created all of those arab states. They have been by no means impartial nation-states. With World Warfare I, the West lastly took down the Ottoman Empire. This was when the Sykes-Picot Settlement was established as a 1916 secret treaty between the UK and France, with the consent of Russia, Italy, and america. They have been carving up the Ottoman Empire, which they mutually agreed to ascertain spheres of affect, thereby partitioning the Ottoman Empire. Syria was created, and the rule of Assad was within the financial pursuits of the West.
I’ve been requested why I don’t write a lot concerning the Israeli battle and supply an answer. There may be NONE!!!! It is a non secular battle, and a ceasefire will solely be non permanent. Israel’s enemies will not be restricted to Iran. It additionally contains Turkey as we transfer ahead in time.
We are going to publish an replace on the geopolitical way forward for the Center East for the Arab world and Israel. This can be launched in January.
