QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Thanks for being so trustworthy. I like the way you separate your opinion from the pc. My query is straightforward. Do you give credence to the betting odds being extra correct than the polls?
See you subsequent week
Frank
ANSWER: The polls are sometimes improper, and the betting odds don’t appear significantly better. In 2016, the percentages of a Hillary victory have been 88% in comparison with 13% for Trump. Our pc referred to as it accurately, as was the case with BREXIT. With over 70 million in early voting, the pc will likely be appropriate on the turnout.
Extra voters (154.6 million) turned out for the presidential election in 2020 than in 2016 (137.5 million), essentially the most important improve between consecutive presidential elections since record-keeping started in 1964. The issue with the 2020 election was the scare techniques utilizing COVID. The mail-in ballots have been 65,642,049. The mixed early voting and mail-in throughout 2016 was solely 12.6 million. With early voting exceeding 70 million, that is by far the most important turnout for early voting in historical past.
