COMMENT: My query is about your forecast that the separation of the US would start with California and that 2022 could be the flip in your mannequin. Please clarify the way you got here to the 2022 goal and the way this separation will develop.
DVS
ANSWER: The goal 2022 was 172 years (2 x 8.6) from becoming a member of the USA in 1850 after the 1846 California’s Bear Flag Rise up. Nonetheless, the mannequin turned up in 2018, when California first proposed exiting the USA due to Trump.
We warned that the Financial Confidence Mannequin peak of 2015.75 was the height in authorities. Trump gained in opposition to all odds and forecasts in 2016, and inside 2 years of that, California was proposing to separate from the US.
It was 1846, the start line for the separation motion 172 years later (2018). It was 1846 when the California Republic was a insurrection breakaway territory from Mexico, which lasted for 25 days between June 14th and July ninth, 1846. It was an space north of San Francisco. Sarcastically, it solely concerned 33 unlawful American immigrants who had entered with out official permission. They staged a insurrection in opposition to the Mexican authorities over the difficulty that that they had not been allowed to purchase or hire land and had been threatened with deportation. Right now, California desires to be a sanctuary state for everybody apart from People. This can be a 180-degree reverse flip, which appears to be cyclical – i.e., bull vs bear market.
Mexican officers had been involved concerning the prospect of warfare with the US, so that they had been making an attempt to ban the migration of People to retain their energy and tradition. The rebels created a flag named “California Republic” and raised it. It has at all times been a query of whether or not they did this purposefully to grab California. The insurgents elected army officers, however no civil construction was ever created. Their flag featured a California grizzly bear, which gave the identify Bear Flag Rise up.
Three weeks later, on July fifth, 1846, the Republic’s 100 to 200 males army grew very like Ukraine immediately elevating a military. The Bear Flag Rise up ended on July ninth when, conveniently, the U.S. Navy raised the US flag. Did the US plan to grab California and ship these 33 guys into the realm to begin the insurrection so the USA didn’t look like invading Mexico and beginning a full-fledged warfare? From 1846 onward, the U.S. army started occupying California. They then joined the union in 1850.
It was November 2022 when Trump introduced he would run in 2024, which elevated the CalExit motion in 2022. This has improved tremendously. The joke is that Davin Nusom desires to grow to be the king of California.
Simply because the individuals within the Donbas are Russian and don’t have anything in frequent with Ukrainians who simply hate them, they need to be allowed to separate. Underneath that very same reasoning, California as an entire has nothing in frequent with nearly all of the nation. They, too, ought to be allowed to separate. America will break aside in any occasion, more than likely as quickly as 2029, if no more post-2032. As I’ve defined within the tariffs items I’ve written, Trump will really go down in historical past as Herbert Hoover of the twenty first century.
