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Reading: Donald Trump triggers prospect of world commerce battle over ‘reciprocal’ tariff plan – rising threat of tensions and inflation
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Michigan Post > Blog > World > Donald Trump triggers prospect of world commerce battle over ‘reciprocal’ tariff plan – rising threat of tensions and inflation
World

Donald Trump triggers prospect of world commerce battle over ‘reciprocal’ tariff plan – rising threat of tensions and inflation

By Editorial Board Last updated: February 14, 2025 4 Min Read
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Donald Trump triggers prospect of world commerce battle over ‘reciprocal’ tariff plan – rising threat of tensions and inflation

The US president has promised to focus on international locations which cost tax on US imports by matching them with a reciprocal tariff.

Donald Trump has ordered his crew to start out calculating duties by early April – rising fears of a world commerce battle that might additionally speed up US inflation.

“On trade, I have decided for purposes of fairness, that I will charge a reciprocal tariff, meaning whatever countries charge the United States of America, we will charge them. No more, no less,” he posted on Fact Social.

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2:45

What’s America’s commerce place?

It’s set to spark negotiations with dozens of nations geared toward reducing their tariffs and commerce limitations. The US desires to shrink its items commerce deficit which topped $1.2trn (£954bn) final yr.

A White Home official mentioned that international locations with massive US commerce surpluses may very well be focused first. The highest 5 are China, Mexico, Vietnam, Eire and Germany, based on the US Census Bureau.

Trump’s whole commerce battle

Paul Kelso - Health correspondent

Paul Kelso

Enterprise and economics correspondent

@pkelso

Taken at face worth Donald Trump’s embrace of reciprocal tariffs is a declaration of whole commerce battle.

It will quantity to maybe the one largest peacetime shock to international commerce.

In promising to levy import taxes on any nation that imposes tariffs or VAT on US exports, he’s following by on a marketing campaign promise.

The intention is to handle a close to trillion greenback commerce deficit – the distinction between the worth of America’s exports and its imports – that he believes quantities to a tax on American jobs.

In response, he desires to deploy tariffs to concurrently ease the US deficit and – in principle – value out imports in favour of home manufacturing.

His main targets look like the most important buying and selling companions with whom the buying and selling deficit is biggest.

It’s a blow to the rising view in Whitehall that Britain would possibly wriggle by the chaos comparatively unscathed.

Trump newest: New tariffs sign ‘whole commerce battle’

The UK may very well be hit with tariffs as excessive as 24% if Mr Trump follows by on his threats to deal with VAT as a tariff, based on Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist at Capital Economics.

Though some estimates are decrease, he thinks Britain can be the fourth hardest hit, following India (29%), Brazil (28%) and the EU (25%).

That is based mostly on VAT charges mixed with current tariffs, however the Trump administration additionally intends to have in mind laws, authorities subsidies, digital providers taxation insurance policies and trade fee insurance policies.

“Most people would consider VAT to be a non-discriminatory tax since it is also applied to domestically-produced goods making a level playing field,” mentioned Mr Ashworth.

However the US nonetheless argues that VAT is a type of discriminatory tariff as a result of America applies a a lot decrease common gross sales tax at state stage.

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi speaks as President Donald Trump listens during a news conference in the East Room of the White House, Thursday, Feb. 13, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Ben Curtis)

Picture:
Narendra Modi and Donald Trump on the White Home. Pic: AP

On Thursday, Mr Trump additionally held a gathering with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, agreeing to hitch forces on synthetic intelligence, semiconductors and strategic minerals.

India’s tariff charges are the best, based on the World Commerce Organisation, with a easy common 17% fee for all merchandise in comparison with 3.3% for the US.

TAGGED:DonaldglobalincreasinginflationplanprospectreciprocalrisktariffTensionstradetriggersTrumpwar
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