It has been greater than a 12 months since a ceasefire was agreed in Lebanon, however information exhibits that the truce between Israel and Hezbollah is extra fragile than ever.
The impartial battle monitoring organisation ACLED has recorded 1,846 Israeli assaults on Lebanon because the ceasefire started.
On common, solely two days of every month haven’t seen an Israeli assault.
The bombings have grown extra frequent in current weeks, with a median of six per day up to now in December, or one each 4 hours – the quickest tempo of assaults since March.
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The Lebanese kids bombed by Israel
Israel says it’s focusing on Hezbollah navy infrastructure
The ceasefire deal requires either side to withdraw from southern Lebanon, the world south of the Litani river.
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The UN mission in southern Lebanon, UNIFIL, says the settlement has been violated greater than 10,000 instances – as soon as each 53 minutes.
That features the assaults monitored by ACLED, in addition to greater than 2,500 IDF floor actions and over 7,800 violations of Lebanese airspace.
It additionally consists of the invention, by UNIFIL, of greater than 360 weapon and ammunition caches south of the Litani river.
Israel says that these caches are proof that Hezbollah is looking for to rebuild its navy infrastructure in southern Lebanon, an allegation denied by each Hezbollah and UNIFIL.
“None of these weapon caches were guarded,” says UNIFIL deputy spokesperson Kandice Ardiel. “They had no obvious signs of recent use and were presumably abandoned. Many were even destroyed already, or half-destroyed.”
An IDF spokesperson mentioned that Hezbollah’s makes an attempt to rebuild its navy infrastructure in southern Lebanon “are not open to interpretation”.
“In the absence of sufficient enforcement by UNIFIL, and out of commitment to the security of the Israeli civilians, the IDF continues to operate in a focused manner against Hezbollah’s restoration attempts,” the spokesperson mentioned.
At the very least 127 civilians have been killed by Israeli assaults because the ceasefire started, in line with the UN.
Israel argues that the ceasefire settlement requires Hezbollah to disarm in all elements of Lebanon, not simply the south. Hezbollah disputes this, and says it won’t think about full disarmament till Israel withdraws totally from Lebanese territory.
Israel has established 5 navy bases inside Lebanon
This withdrawal was imagined to happen by 27 January 2025, a deadline that was later prolonged to 18 February.
However as a substitute of withdrawing from its Lebanese bases, Israel started cementing its presence.
Picture:
Israeli base on Tzivoni ridge, Lebanon, 18 November 2025. Pic: Planet Labs PBC
Israel retains management of 4 different bases on Lebanese territory, scattered alongside hilltops close to the border.
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“We need to remain at those points at the moment to defend Israeli citizens, to make sure this process is complete and eventually hand it over to the Lebanese armed forces,” IDF spokesman Nadav Shoshani mentioned in February.
Lebanon has raised complaints with the UN about these bases, in addition to Israel’s current extension of its border wall. The UN says that two sections of the wall cross into Lebanese territory, placing round one acre on the Israeli aspect.
Picture:
Israeli border wall underneath building close to Yaroun, 18 November 2025. Pic: Planet Labs PBC
Within the picture beneath, a part of the newly constructed wall could be seen passing between border posts, highlighted in inexperienced, into Lebanese territory.
Picture:
A newly-constructed portion of Israel’s border wall is seen crossing into Lebanon, with border posts highlighted. Pic: AP
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The continued presence of Israeli forces has hampered reconstruction efforts. Greater than 64,000 Lebanese folks stay displaced from their houses.
Picture:
Wreckage within the border city of Aita al Chaab
Satellite tv for pc imagery, taken on 24 November, exhibits the city in ruins. Out of 326 buildings within the city centre, 293 (91%) have been destroyed.
For the reason that ceasefire started, the destruction has continued and has unfold to the Aita al Chaab’s outskirts.
