Inflation has remained comparatively excessive, that means items have gotten dearer, significantly the price of meals, official figures present.
The speed of value rises remained at 3.8% in August, the identical as in July, in line with knowledge from the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS).
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Meals and non-alcoholic drinks value rises, nevertheless, accelerated from 4.9% to five.1%, far greater than the headline price and different measures of inflation.
It is the primary time such a excessive has been reached in 18 months.
“Small increases” have been seen in greens, cheeses and fish, the ONS stated.
Financial analysis agency Pantheon Macroeconomics has forecast it would peak at 6% in December.
Costs are anticipated to proceed rising, with the Financial institution of England forecasting the speed will hit 4% in September.
Such a excessive is double the central financial institution’s 2% goal, that means rates of interest – and the price of borrowing consequently – may stay greater for longer.
Why?
Newest headline knowledge was unchanged as airfares rose much less sharply in August this 12 months, in comparison with final, although this was offset by lodge costs falling much less sharply and dearer petrol.
Oasis gigs throughout Britain probably contributed to greater lodging prices.
The rise in meals inflation follows the most well liked UK spring and summer time on file, which impacted crop development and animal feeding, and resulted in certainly one of its worst harvests in many years.
Elevated wage payments by way of greater minimal wage and employers’ nationwide insurance coverage contributions have been stated to be behind the excessive determine, the Meals and Drink Federation stated.
Behind the headline determine
Different measures of inflation slowed.
Core inflation, which strips out unstable meals and power costs and is carefully watched by the rate-setters on the Financial institution of England, fell again to three.6% from 3.8% final month.
Equally, providers inflation, which tracks costs within the largest a part of the UK economic system, dropped again to 4.7% from 5% in July.