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Michigan Post > Blog > Politics > Police investigation ‘might weaken SNP’s election probabilities’, high pollster warns
Politics

Police investigation ‘might weaken SNP’s election probabilities’, high pollster warns

By Editorial Board Published March 20, 2025 3 Min Read
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Police investigation ‘might weaken SNP’s election probabilities’, high pollster warns

Professor Sir John Curtice stated the long-running inquiry, dubbed Operation Branchform, might forestall John Swinney’s celebration from conducting an “effective ground war”.

Police investigation ‘might weaken SNP’s election probabilities’, high pollster warns

Picture:
Professor Sir John Curtice. Pic: PA

Detectives have charged Nicola Sturgeon’s estranged husband Peter Murrell in reference to embezzlement of SNP funding and funds throughout his time as chief government.

The pair’s Glasgow house was raided two years in the past.

Ms Sturgeon, who introduced this week she would give up Holyrood in 2026, stays a suspect after being beforehand arrested and launched with out cost.

Nicola Sturgeon with her now ex-husband Peter Murrell. Pic: Andrew Milligan/PA Wire

Picture:
Nicola Sturgeon together with her now ex-husband Peter Murrell. Pic: Andrew Milligan/PA Wire

The 54-year-old has all the time insisted she is harmless of any wrongdoing.

“And the party, at the end of the day, will want to be able to fight the Holyrood election with as much financial heft and resource as it can possibly muster.”

The SNP has been in energy since 2007 however has endured a interval of instability since Ms Sturgeon resigned as celebration chief and first minister of Scotland in 2023.

John Swinney, First Minister of Scotland and leader of the SNP. Pic: Jeff J Mitchell/PA Wire

Picture:
First Minister John Swinney. Pic: PA

Latest studies claimed the SNP has 58,940 members, down from 64,525 final summer time.

Polls had instructed Scottish Labour could possibly be heading for a historic win on the upcoming Holyrood election – however the celebration’s recognition has tanked lately, and the SNP is again on the rise.

Sir John, a professor of politics at Strathclyde College, instructed the SNP’s probabilities of clinging on to energy could possibly be on a knife edge – and the police probe could possibly be a dealbreaker.

Nicola Sturgeon resigned as SNP leader in February 2023. Pic: Robert Perry/PA Wire

Picture:
Nicola Sturgeon has all the time denied any wrongdoing. Pic: PA

“A lack of financial resource may well make it somewhat more difficult for the party to run an effective ground war,” he added.

“It may not be able to spend so much money on advertising or on social media. Maybe that could cost it one or two seats, and as I have explained, because the prospect of there being a pro-independence majority at the moment looks as though it is literally on a knife edge that could matter.”

As of 31 January 2025, a Freedom of Info request revealed policing prices had soared to no less than £2,106,961.

The Crown Workplace, which is Scotland’s prosecution service, stated in its FOI response that it had spent no less than £206,366.

The SNP didn’t deal with dialogue about its funds.

A spokeswoman stated: “As we approach the election, recent polling shows strong levels of support for the SNP under John Swinney’s leadership, as we deliver the progress people in Scotland deserve on the issues that matter to them.”

TAGGED:chanceselectioninvestigationPolicepollsterSNPsTopwarnsweaken
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