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Reading: POLL: Barrett has slight lead over Hertel for Michigan seventh
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Michigan Post > Blog > Michigan > POLL: Barrett has slight lead over Hertel for Michigan seventh
Michigan

POLL: Barrett has slight lead over Hertel for Michigan seventh

By Editorial Board Published October 30, 2024 4 Min Read
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POLL: Barrett has slight lead over Hertel for Michigan seventh

LANSING, Mich. (WLNS) — Republican Tom Barrett has a slight edge over Democrat Curtis Hertel as the 2 battle for Michigan’s seventh Congressional District, in keeping with a brand new ballot.

The ballot, performed by Emerson Faculty for WLNS-TV, exhibits Barrett with the assist of 47.3% of these surveyed. Hertel acquired 44.8%. The two.5 % distinction is inside the ballot’s margin of error.

(WLNS)

Lower than 2 % mentioned they’d vote for the third-party candidate, and 6.6% mentioned they had been undecided.

The seventh Congressional is taken into account a toss-up and one of many hottest races within the nation. It is one in every of a handful of seats that might resolve which occasion controls the U.S. Home of Representatives – the place Republicans presently have a single-digit edge. It contains all of Ingham, Clinton, Livingston, and Shiawassee counties and virtually all of Eaton County.

The seat is presently held by a Democrat: Congresswoman Elissa Slotkin, who gave up the seat to run for the U.S. Senate. She’s hoping to interchange the retiring Debbie Stabenow. Slotkin is working in opposition to a former member of Congress: Mike Rogers. Each represented the better Lansing space in what was once the eighth Congressional District earlier than the district strains modified for the 2022 election.

Barrett, a former state senator, ran in opposition to Slotkin two years in the past and misplaced. However his earlier run might have helped him with identify recognition – which might play an important position in an in depth election.

AP23111606660951 e1688740504924FILE- Former State Sen. Tom Barrett (AP Picture/Carlos Osorio, File)

Regardless of the thousands and thousands of {dollars} being spent by each events on TV commercials and different advertisements, 10% of voters say they’ve “never heard” of Barrett – whereas 21% % say the identical factor about Hertel – who can also be a former state senator.

FILE - Sen. Curtis Hertel Jr., D-East Lansing, speaks with reporters in the Senate chamber following the approval of a $17.1 billion K-12 budget on Wednesday, June 30, 2021, in Lansing, Mich. Hertel Jr. and Tom Barrett, a Republican, will both announce campaigns for Michigan's 7th Congressional District on Monday, July 10, 2023. The two candidates are the first to announce campaigns for the open seat and are both expected to be the frontrunners to win their party’s nominations. (AP Photo/David Eggert, File)FILE – Former State Sen. Curtis Hertel Jr., (AP Picture/David Eggert, File)

That is not Barrett’s solely benefit.

“Barrett has an advantage among independent voters in the district, who back him 47% overHertel’s 41%, though 10% of independents are still undecided ahead of the election,” mentioned Spencer Kimball, government director of Emerson Faculty Polling.

However Barrett additionally has a “lead” in a special class: individuals who view him very unfavorably. Nearly a 3rd of these polled (33.1%) say they’ve a really adverse view of the Republican, in comparison with the one in 5 (19.6%) who really feel the identical method about Hertel.

The identical ballot additionally exhibits the district is completely break up between presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Every acquired precisely 49% assist of the individuals surveyed.

The ballot of 535 seemingly voters befell between October twenty fourth and twenty sixth and has a credibility interval (just like a margin of error) of +/-4.2%.

TAGGED:7thBarrettHertelLeadMichiganpollslight
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