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Michigan Post > Blog > World > Syria’s insurgent offensive: A setback for the regime, or the beginning of a significant escalation?
World

Syria’s insurgent offensive: A setback for the regime, or the beginning of a significant escalation?

By Editorial Board Published November 30, 2024 4 Min Read
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Syria’s insurgent offensive: A setback for the regime, or the beginning of a significant escalation?

It had seemed to be a battle frozen in time, however the operation launched with blistering pace by Syrian opposition fighters has turned all of that the wrong way up.

It’s also a potent reminder of the complexity of the Syrian battle.

What was a stalemate has revealed that the regime of President Bashar al Assad could very properly be standing on clay ft.

Whether or not the insurgent push continues its momentum and transforms right into a wider offensive stays to be seen – however its significance politically and militarily is immense.

Aleppo was as soon as the nation’s largest metropolis and was a key battleground within the civil warfare – it has additionally been a stronghold for the regime.

Picture:
Rebels stand in entrance of College of Aleppo. Pic: Reuters

What’s taking place now’s a significant blow to the federal government because it exhibits how fragile its grip on energy has develop into.

It additionally demonstrates that the rebels have the dedication and the army functionality to problem regime authority in key strategic areas.

The rebels comprise many various teams who’ve fought in opposition to the regime for the reason that begin of the Syrian rebellion.

Amongst them, the most important is Hayat Tahrir al Sham, which controls many of the north-western territory held by the opposition.

Opposition forces take control of areas outside Aleppo, Syria, Friday, Nov. 29, 2024. (AP Photo/Ghaith Alsayed)

Picture:
Opposition forces take management of areas outdoors Aleppo. Pic: AP

The group was linked to the terrorist group al Qaeda however has renounced these ties.

A lot of the video that is rising is harking back to the violent rebellion in opposition to the Assad dictatorship in 2011 – descending right into a massacre from the so-called ‘Arab Spring’.

Formally, the offensive was launched as a means of stopping regime air strikes on opposition-held territory.

It might be that the rebels themselves are stunned by the dearth of presidency resistance and the way profitable they have been within the area of three quick days.

The Syrian authorities has portrayed what’s taking place as a “large-scale terrorist attack” and has vowed to reverse the losses.

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Credit: Al-Askare, Military Media

0:33

Syrian rebels take flag from monument

There are after all wider questions as to why that is taking place now?

President Assad would most probably have misplaced the warfare had he not been bailed out by the Russian air power and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, in addition to a tapestry of militant teams – together with Hezbollah.

Russia is struggling for useful resource in Ukraine and has diverted its air power from the Syrian theatre.

Iran and its proxies have been battered by Israel after they tried to take advantage of the carnage of the 7 October Hamas assault on Israel.

With these forces not as robust as they have been, there’s been a chink within the regime’s armour and the rebels it might appear have seen their probability and never let the chance escape.

The query now’s whether or not the opposition fighters will be capable to stay on the entrance foot and consolidate their place and maybe even launch additional assaults on centres of energy.

For the time being, the scenario stays extremely unstable and unsure.

The advance actually challenges the established order, however it’s nonetheless removed from clear whether or not this can be a setback for the regime, or the beginning of a significant section of escalation.

TAGGED:escalationmajoroffensiverebelRegimesetbackstartSyrias
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