QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you had forecast that Brazil would go into one other revolutionary section in 2026. Given the latest occasions right here in Brazil, I believe that forecast you made three years in the past is abruptly wanting extra believable. Would you present an replace on Brazil?
Thanks
Miguel
ANSWER: Brazil’s historical past is notably totally different from many Latin American neighbors; it didn’t have a bloody, continent-wide conflict for independence from Portugal (1822), and it has not had a basic, profitable common revolution that utterly overthrew the state in a single occasion (just like the French or Russian Revolutions).
Nevertheless, Brazil has skilled a number of main occasions which might be formally referred to as “revolutions” and different profound transformations that might be thought-about revolutionary in impression. The final was a army coup that overthrew President João Goulart in 1964, which was formally referred to as the “Redemptive Revolution” by the generals who led it. They framed it as a crucial motion to save lots of the nation from communism and chaos. Nevertheless, historians as we speak universally classify it as a coup d’état that initiated a 21-year-long army dictatorship, not a revolution within the basic sense.
The election of Lula da Silva was an act of financial suicide for Brazil. Silva was elected in 2022 to be the president of Brazil. That was a surprising comeback following a really tight run-off race that was not with out controversy. His victory heralded a political about-face for Latin America’s largest nation. You may see the financial penalties for the reason that US greenback reversed path and was projected to achieve a serious excessive in 2024. Bolsonaro was forward of da Silva within the polls for the 2026 election, which is why Lula had him criminally charged, and the courts are too corrupt in Brazil to comprehend this was not an answer.
The years 2025 and 2026 are Directional Modifications. To date, the greenback is an inside buying and selling 12 months. It seems the political uncertainty will rise in 2026, and this could carry Brazil into 2028. The danger of rising volatility will seem in March-April in 2026. The pc projections for Brazil point out that this can NOT finish properly. Brazil has nonetheless been in a position to promote bonds overseas. For instance, it offered $2.75 billion in dollar-denominated sovereign bonds in June 2025. This could begin to change in 2026. Curiosity funds as a share of presidency income in Brazil are operating over 30.84%. Curiosity funds correspond to roughly 7-8% of Brazil’s GDP in latest months.
The present president of Brazil is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who’s following the LEFTIST world agenda to additional this concept of a LEFTIST WORLD GOVERNMENT. It is a deliberate marketing campaign on a world scale that wages political conflict to encourage hatred. His prosecution of Bolsonaro is a basic instance of the leftist tactic to imprison opponents. We noticed that try with Trump, however Macron used it in opposition to Marine Le Pen, and Germany tried to outlaw the AfD.
Different international locations which might be prosecuting former heads of state embody Argentina, Peru, South Korea, France, Israel, Chad, Ivory Coast, Mauritania, Malaysia, Pakistan, and Guinea. Then there’s the Worldwide Legal Courtroom, which has additionally grow to be political, charging crimes in opposition to humanity, relating to Vladimir Putin, Rodrigo Duterte, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Min Aung Hlaing.
Now, even Romania is pulling the identical LEFTIST tactic on the path of the EU as a result of NATO is constructing the most important base in Romania to launch assaults on Russia. Calin Georgescu was in opposition to the conflict that the EU and NATO are directing, so the reply is to criminally abuse the regulation to once more imprison your opponent. That is changing into a WIDESPREAD tactic of the LEFT, and that is all a part of the pc’s forecast for 2032. They consider that after World Battle III, they’ll get to this time, institutionalize Marxism, and kill any Capitalistic and freedom as soon as and for all.
There’s concern inside components of Brazil’s army (and amongst political observers) about points of Lula’s authorities, nevertheless it’s a fancy scenario. After Lula took workplace, supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed a number of authorities buildings in Brasília. There was substantial proof that some safety forces, together with army police and presumably parts within the armed forces, both didn’t act or had individuals sympathetic to Bolsonaro amongst them.
Lula turned to consolidate loyalty and belief (and to scale back dangers of parts sympathetic to a coup or rebel), Lula’s authorities has made a number of modifications:
The Military’s high commander, Gen. Júlio Cesar de Arruda, was changed by Gen. Tomás Miguel Ribeiro Paiva.
Some army appointments and posts have been blocked or modified, particularly the place there was concern over loyalty.
The intelligence company, beforehand underneath army or safety oversight, has come underneath extra civilian management.
Our sources there affirm that there are a lot of within the army who’re very uneasy about being drawn into politics, about their institutional popularity, and about purges or dismissals (even when legally justified) that they see as politicized. However that doesn’t essentially imply they uniformly oppose Lula or his insurance policies.
Lula’s try to make use of the authorized system to close down all opposition is extremely harmful, and this can grow to be the supply of the subsequent revolution. Brazil is DOOMED!!!! Legally, Bolsonaro’s conviction over the coup plot is NOT universally accepted—there are appeals, dissenting opinions, and prices of political motivation, particularly from Bolsonaro’s supporters. Some within the army (particularly those that supported him) possible see the convictions as politically motivated or unfair; others see them as a crucial response to threats in opposition to democracy. However Lula is the true risk to democracy, however the LEFT is all the time probably the most violent, for they inform their followers that they’re the victims of the RIGHT, who’re evil and should be destroyed.
The convictions themselves are choices of the corrupt courts in Brazil, not the army. The army’s concern tends to be extra in regards to the implications that the corrupt authorized system, like we’ve got seen within the US with compromised judges, that manipulating the regulation for political makes use of by the judiciary has set a precedent that many are starting to see that the one resolution to save lots of Brazil once more shall be a revolution.
A big pressure is the diploma of civilian management over the army, and making certain the army (and police) are impartial {and professional} somewhat than being political actors. Lula has tried to claim that, however there are dangers of backlash. Then throw within the corrupt authorized system of Brazil. The courts are prosecuting people, together with army personnel. How the army handles these investigations (disciplinary, authorized) issues determines whether or not the establishment as a complete accepts the rule of regulation when the courts are appearing as a purge for Lula. The a technique to make sure a future revolution was to imprison Bolsonaro.
A good portion of Brazil’s army is deeply involved about political instability, the chance of being caught in political fights, and the implications of eradicating or disciplining personnel. However whether or not that counts as being “concerned about the left agenda” or “afraid of Lula imprisoning Bolsonaro” relies upon so much on which a part of the army, how excessive up, and the way intently related to Bolsonaro or his supporters they’re.
Even the Telegraph has seen that Obama is fanning the political divide in the US, as a part of an agenda to make use of WWIII to revamp the US within the aftermath, much like how Bretton Woods, the creation of the UN, and the IMF all got here after WWII. Obama is blaming Trump for dividing the nation as if the LEFT has nothing to do with it.
Obama is an excessive leftist participant on this sport. After leaving workplace, Barack Obama selected to stay in Washington, D.C., which some interpret as a technique to keep affect in politics. His continued presence has led to hypothesis about his involvement in political issues and help for Democratic candidates. Sources have lengthy stated that Obama is known as a closet racist, and that has coloured his leftist agenda, which he has offered quietly behind the scenes. Hw is the ONLY former President who has refused to depart politics in Washington. Whereas the press loves him, he’s rather more of a devoted zealot to his political philosophy than most are ever keen to place in print.
