We collect cookies to analyze our website traffic and performance; we never collect any personal data.Cookies Policy
Accept
Michigan Post
Search
  • Home
  • Trending
  • Michigan
  • World
  • Politics
  • Top Story
  • Business
    • Business
    • Economics
    • Real Estate
    • Startups
    • Autos
    • Crypto & Web 3
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
    • Lifestyle
    • Food
    • Beauty
    • Art & Books
  • Health
  • Sports
  • Entertainment
  • Education
Reading: We examine the accuracy of 20 Arthur Hayes market calls
Share
Font ResizerAa
Michigan PostMichigan Post
Search
  • Home
  • Trending
  • Michigan
  • World
  • Politics
  • Top Story
  • Business
    • Business
    • Economics
    • Real Estate
    • Startups
    • Autos
    • Crypto & Web 3
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
    • Lifestyle
    • Food
    • Beauty
    • Art & Books
  • Health
  • Sports
  • Entertainment
  • Education
© 2024 | The Michigan Post | All Rights Reserved.
Michigan Post > Blog > Crypto & Web 3 > We examine the accuracy of 20 Arthur Hayes market calls
Crypto & Web 3

We examine the accuracy of 20 Arthur Hayes market calls

By Editorial Board Published May 13, 2025 4 Min Read
Share
We examine the accuracy of 20 Arthur Hayes market calls

For some motive, crypto merchants look to Arthur Hayes for market forecasts. Hayes rose to prominence as CEO of BitMEX, as soon as the world’s largest crypto derivatives trade, the place his market-maker traded towards his personal prospects.

Hayes’ fame continued after his indictment and home arrest, and he’s now chief funding officer at Maelstrom.

Though a complete accounting of each prediction Hayes ever made is past the scope of this text, Protos has analyzed 20 of his most up-to-date predictions and listed the outcomes beneath.

Sub-$50K bitcoin

On September 6, 2024, Hayes predicted, “BTC is heavy, I’m gunning for sub $50k this weekend. I took a cheeky short.”

Sadly, bitcoin didn’t drop beneath $50,000. Later that day, it briefly dropped to $52,546, nevertheless it has by no means traded at a cheaper price since.

Conclusion: Fail.

Crypto’s March peak

On January 6, 2025, Hayes predicted that crypto markets would peak in mid-March 2025.

Nonetheless, the very best market capitalization for crypto belongings occurred on the day of Donald Trump’s inauguration — January 20, 2025.

By March, crypto’s whole market cap was over half a trillion {dollars} decrease than on the day of the inauguration.

Conclusion: Fail.

Bitcoin will hit $110,000 earlier than reset

On March 23, Hayes predicted, “I bet BTC hits $110,000 before it retests $76,500.” 

On the contrary, BTC re-tested $76,500 on April 7 and did not hit $110,000 between March 23 and April 7.

I guess $BTC hits $110k earlier than it retests $76.5k.

Y? The Fed goes from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don’t matter trigger “transitory inflation”. JAYPOW instructed me so.

I’ll expound on that in my subsequent essay, that’s the TLDR to your TikTok peanut mind.

— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) March 24, 2025

Conclusion: Fail.

Hayes’ bullish picks

On January 6, 2025, Hayes printed a bullish forecast for seven crypto belongings: BIO, VITA, ATH, GROW, PSY, CRYO, and NEURON.

Sadly, the year-to-date returns of those picks are as follows:

BIO -89%

VITA -76%

ATH -28%

GROW -86%

PSY -73%

CRYO -78%

NEURON -77%

I guess $BTC hits $110k earlier than it retests $76.5k.

Y? The Fed goes from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don’t matter trigger “transitory inflation”. JAYPOW instructed me so.

I’ll expound on that in my subsequent essay, that’s the TLDR to your TikTok peanut mind.

— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) March 24, 2025

Conclusion: Seven failures.

Hayes says ‘buy everything’

On Could 12, Hayes made a macroeconomic forecast for the broad market, saying, “Buy everything.”

At the moment, the Vanguard Complete World Index opened pre-market buying and selling at $121.72. It stays inside 1% of that value as of publication time and there was no substantial change in world fairness costs for the reason that name.

Conclusion: Indeterminate.

Bitcoin’s $1 million rally

On numerous dates in 2024 and on Could 4 this yr, Hayes predicted that BTC would rally to $1 million by 2028.

Though BTC has rallied since Hayes made his prediction, it stays greater than 89% beneath his goal value.

Conclusion: Indeterminate.

Even Hayes admitted his failure fee

On September 25 final yr, Hayes analyzed his eight most up-to-date predictions spanning 2023 to autumn 2024.

Sadly, solely six of his final eight predictions at the moment have been appropriate.

Conclusion: Six self-admitted failures, two successes.

In abstract, Hayes failed in 16 of those 20 predictions, succeeded in two, and predicted two costs for future timeframes that make a present dedication unattainable.

TAGGED:accuracyArthurcallscheckHayesMarket
Share This Article
Facebook Twitter Email Copy Link Print

HOT NEWS

Clever set for resounding victory in battle with co-founder Hinrikus

Clever set for resounding victory in battle with co-founder Hinrikus

Business
July 27, 2025
Donald Trump offers his view on possibilities of US-EU commerce deal – whereas on the golf course

Donald Trump offers his view on possibilities of US-EU commerce deal – whereas on the golf course

Donald Trump has mentioned the possibilities of the US understanding a brand new buying and…

July 27, 2025
Snacks Go away You Ravenous? These Excessive-Protein Choices Are Your 3PM Treatment

Snacks Go away You Ravenous? These Excessive-Protein Choices Are Your 3PM Treatment

We might obtain a portion of gross sales if you are going to buy a…

July 27, 2025
Components of Athens evacuated after greater than 50 wildfires in 24 hours

Components of Athens evacuated after greater than 50 wildfires in 24 hours

Components of Athens have been evacuated after greater than 50 wildfires broke out in 24…

July 27, 2025
‘I nonetheless have hope’: Mother and father of IDF soldier taken hostage by Hamas worry he’ll be certainly one of final freed

‘I nonetheless have hope’: Mother and father of IDF soldier taken hostage by Hamas worry he’ll be certainly one of final freed

Yehuda searches by a downstairs room on the lookout for a plastic bag containing essentially…

July 27, 2025

YOU MAY ALSO LIKE

Are bitcoin treasuries mirroring the 1929 funding belief collapse?

Because the bitcoin (BTC) treasury firm bubble of spring 2025 deflates into summer season doldrums, historians of public trusts are…

Crypto & Web 3
July 25, 2025

How XRP misplaced its first 32,569 ledgers — and why it issues

Ripple founders and early insiders launched the XRP Ledger in June 2012 and misplaced all of its knowledge by New…

Crypto & Web 3
July 25, 2025

WOO X continues to freeze withdrawals as hack particulars emerge

The Taiwan-based crypto trade WOO X nonetheless hasn’t lifted its momentary withdrawal ban after $14 million in crypto was stolen…

Crypto & Web 3
July 25, 2025

Market Speak – July 24, 2025 | Economics

ASIA: The key Asian inventory markets had a combined day in the present day: • NIKKEI 225 elevated 655.02 factors…

Economics
July 24, 2025

Welcome to Michigan Post, an esteemed publication of the Enspirers News Group. As a beacon of excellence in journalism, Michigan Post is committed to delivering unfiltered and comprehensive news coverage on World News, Politics, Business, Tech, and beyond.

Company

  • About Us
  • Newsroom Policies & Standards
  • Diversity & Inclusion
  • Careers
  • Media & Community Relations
  • Accessibility Statement

Contact Us

  • Contact Us
  • Contact Customer Care
  • Advertise
  • Licensing & Syndication
  • Request a Correction
  • Contact the Newsroom
  • Send a News Tip
  • Report a Vulnerability

Term of Use

  • Digital Products Terms of Sale
  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Settings
  • Submissions & Discussion Policy
  • RSS Terms of Service
  • Ad Choices

© 2024 | The Michigan Post | All Rights Reserved

Welcome Back!

Sign in to your account

Lost your password?