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Michigan Post > Blog > Business > What’s the two-child profit cap and can Labour scrap it?
Business

What’s the two-child profit cap and can Labour scrap it?

By Editorial Board Published May 27, 2025 5 Min Read
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What’s the two-child profit cap and can Labour scrap it?

The federal government is contemplating eliminating the two-child profit cap first introduced in by the Conservatives.

The coverage has induced appreciable consternation throughout the Labour Social gathering, with a rising variety of MPs calling to scrap it and ministers to date refusing to.

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We take a look at what the cap is and the controversy over it.

What’s the two-child profit cap?

Since 2017, dad and mom have solely been in a position to declare youngster tax credit score and common credit score for his or her first two kids, in the event that they have been born after April 2017.

An exception is made for kids born because of rape.

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0:56

Baby profit reform ‘not off the desk’

Who launched it?

Then work and pensions secretary Iain Duncan Smith first proposed the coverage in 2012 beneath the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition authorities.

It was not till 2015 that then chancellor George Osborne introduced a cap could be launched from the 2017/2018 monetary 12 months.

The coalition stated it made the system fairer for taxpayers and ensured households on advantages confronted the identical monetary decisions round having kids as these not on advantages.

David Cameron on the 2015 campaign trail

Picture:
David Cameron’s authorities launched the cap, although he was out of workplace by the point it got here in

What’s Labour’s place on the cap?

The celebration has lengthy been divided over the problem, with Sir Keir Starmer ruling out scrapping the cap in 2023.

He then stated Labour wished to take away it, however solely when fiscal circumstances allowed.

Ministers have toed the celebration line for months, however the narrative began to shift in Might, with Sir Keir reported to have requested the Treasury to see how scrapping it could possibly be funded.

The publication of Labour’s youngster poverty technique was delayed from the spring to autumn, fuelling hypothesis the federal government desires to make use of the subsequent funds to scrap the cap.

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Why has Labour delayed the cut to the two-child cap?

2:37

Why did Labour delay their youngster poverty technique?

What number of kids does the cap have an effect on?

Authorities figures present one in 9 kids (1.6m) are impacted by the two-child restrict.

Within the first three months Labour have been in energy, 10,000 kids have been pulled into poverty by the cap, the Baby Poverty Motion Group discovered.

In Might, it stated one other 109 kids are pulled into poverty every day by the restrict, including to the 4.5 million already in poverty.

The Decision Basis stated the cap would enhance the variety of kids in poverty to 4.8 million by the subsequent election in 2029-30.

Torsten Bell, the inspiration’s former chief govt and now a Labour Treasury minister, stated scrapping the cap would elevate 470,000 kids out of poverty.

Torsten Bell.
Pic: Dimitris Legakis/Athena Pictures/Shutterstock

Picture:
Torsten Bell has warned towards preserving the cap. Pic: Dimitris Legakis/Athena Photos/Shutterstock

How a lot would lifting the cap price the taxpayer?

The cap means for each subsequent youngster after the primary two, households can’t declare advantages price £3,455 a 12 months, based on the Institute for Authorities.

It estimates eradicating the restrict would price the federal government about £3.4bn a 12 months – equal to roughly 3% of the whole working-age profit funds.

It’s also roughly the identical price as freezing gas duties for the subsequent parliament.

Analysis has discovered the oblique fiscal impacts of lifting the cap could possibly be greater, as some knowledge reveals investing in younger kids pays for itself by inflicting higher outcomes for them later in life.

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